And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Wowser. dr ali binazir odds of being born. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. Thats 150,000 generations. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). But let's think about this some more. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). If we really took it in we would fall on our knees with rapture and tears of gratitude. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? Step 1. dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. So far, so good. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Then the probability of Mr. Just go have some fucking fun! The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. Me neither. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Thank you, Monsignor. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. xx, Lets be social! Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. That's 150,000 generations. On one try. To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. 7 distinct works Similar authors. You have lived your life. -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. Dr. He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. I hope you use your chance well. When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. So what's the probability of your being born? This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. Step 4. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. So what's the probability of your being born? Step 1. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. You can start the series by clicking HERE. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. The chances that they would then get knocked up? So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? Now things start getting interesting. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Which one's bigger? The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! Which one's bigger? On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? Step 2. You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. Step 3. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. Its maddening to see people worry so much. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Based on the data from the CDC . To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. I think that was exactly Msgr. Part of HuffPost Wellness. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. That's 150,000 generations. Probability is a pure odd. Yet here we are. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. On the Probability of Your Being Born.. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. But let's think about this some more. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. So whats the probability of your existing? Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. But lets make it longer. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! You get the volume of planet Earth. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Which ones bigger? This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. But on all probability it would. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Step 4. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Do you know the odds of being alive? In other words, as this infographic figures it,. Are they gross exaggerations? 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. June 24, 2022 . So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. And worry and fear? But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head!
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